Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 5, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Amorim (64')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Safira (22', 30'), Silva (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Braga
Monday, February 27 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
32.3% ( -0.61)	28.18% ( -0.34)	39.52% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.74% (

1.1)

59.26% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.33% (

0.84)

79.67% (

-0.84)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

0.15)

33.85% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49% (

0.16)

70.51% (

-0.16)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

1.11)

29.23% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

1.34)

65.19% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 32.3%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.51%

Draw 28.17%

Santa Clara	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.51%