Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Santa Clara

Maritimo
3 - 1
Santa Clara

Boateng (61' og.), Winck (72' pen.), Liza (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Famalicao
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
36.37% (0.057000000000002 0.06)29.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)34.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1% (0.093000000000004 0.09)62.9% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)82.4% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)33% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (0.096 0.1)69.59% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.035 0.04)71.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 36.37%
    Santa Clara 34.31%
    Draw 29.31%
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Santa Clara

Maritimo
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Santa Clara
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-1
Maritimo
Allano (52' pen.), Babi (60')
Xadas (36')
Mendes (15')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-2
Maritimo
Tagawa (5', 33')
Carvalho (14'), Villanueva (84')
Alipour (64'), Winck (85')
Pelagio (50'), Costa (51'), Mendes (70')
Dec 11, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
4-1
Santa Clara
Joel (18' pen.), Henrique (38'), Costa (60'), Guitane (69' pen.)
Andrade (66')
Andrade (1' og.)
Nene (48'), Mansur (68'), Carvalho (90+1')
Feb 8, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
1-2
Santa Clara
Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')
Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Santa Clara
2-0
Maritimo
Thiago (57', 72')
Thiago (85'), Nene (90+6')

Correa (47')