Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.