Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 27, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Braga

Silva (31' pen.), Safira (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Djalo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Braga
34.08% ( 0.2)	26.24% ( 0.44)	39.68% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-1.85)

51.44% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-1.64)

73.25% (

1.63)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.77)

28.7% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.97)

64.53% (

0.97)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

-1.18)

25.46% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

-1.64)

60.29% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.08%

Braga 39.68%

Draw 26.23%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.08%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.68%