Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 1Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Braga
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Braga
Vitoria have conceded the joint-third fewest home goals in the Portuguese top flight — notably holding out to a goalless draw against Benfica and losing 1-0 to Porto — keeping six clean sheets in 11 fixtures at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. However, Braga are the division's top scorers away from home, and that consistency in finding the back of the net on their travels should produce a slender victory in the derby. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
34.08% ( 0.2) | 26.24% ( 0.44) | 39.68% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
