Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Benfica

Rio Ave
0 - 1
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramos (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.87%) and 0-3 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawBenfica
8.4% (-0.1089 -0.11)16.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)74.97% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 40.72% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56% (-0.142 -0.14)45.44% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)67.77% (0.139 0.14)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.48% (-0.348 -0.35)54.52% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.41% (-0.21 -0.21)87.59% (0.214 0.21)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)34.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 8.4%
    Benfica 74.95%
    Draw 16.63%
Rio AveDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 2.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 8.4%
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 16.63%
0-2 @ 14.53% (0.09 0.09)
0-1 @ 12.87% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 10.93% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 6.17% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.74% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 74.95%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Benfica

Rio Ave
5.6%
Draw
5.6%
Benfica
88.9%
36
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Benfica
4-2
Rio Ave
Ramos (13', 45+1'), Luiz (19' og.), Musa (62')
Musa (58')
Ronaldo (6'), Rodrigues (86')
Mar 1, 2021 7pm
Benfica
2-0
Rio Ave
Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 8pm
Rio Ave
0-3
Benfica

Pinto (81')
Waldschmidt (6', 45+4'), Gabriel (84')
Gilberto (78'), Otamendi (80'), Weigl (90+2')
Jun 17, 2020 9.15pm
Rio Ave
1-2
Benfica
Taremi (26')
Elmusrati (13'), Figueiras (80')
Elmusrati (62'), Santos (72'), Figueiras (90+2')
Seferovic (64'), Weigl (87')
Pizzi (45+3'), Dias (74')
Jan 14, 2020 9.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
3-2
Rio Ave
Cervi (13'), Seferovic (64', 71')
Dias (3')
Piazon (4'), Taremi (30')
Augusto (21'), Lopes (51')
rhs 2.0


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