Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Gil Vicente |
44.35% ( 0.94) | 26.24% ( -0.19) | 29.41% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( 0.43) | 52.89% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( 0.36) | 74.5% ( -0.36) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% ( 0.65) | 23.74% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( 0.93) | 57.87% ( -0.93) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( -0.33) | 32.62% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.83% ( -0.37) | 69.17% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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