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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Juventus logo

Lazio
2 - 1
Juventus

FT(HT: 1-1)
Rabiot (42')
Bonucci (40'), Sandro (45'), Locatelli (45+3'), Cuadrado (50'), Miretti (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-1 Juventus

As Juventus usually set up to avoid leaking goals and then strike on the break, and Lazio certainly know how to keep the back door shut, a low-scoring encounter should be expected in the Eternal City. Leaving Stadio Olimpico with a point would represent a good result for Juve in normal times, but such is their deficit to the top four, a share of the spoils would leave them running out of time to close the gap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawJuventus
38.19% (-0.842 -0.84) 28.09% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 33.72% (0.775 0.77)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.121 -0.12)58.71% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)79.24% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)29.75% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.676 -0.68)65.81% (0.676 0.68)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (0.46900000000001 0.47)32.58% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (0.523 0.52)69.12% (-0.523 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 38.19%
    Juventus 33.71%
    Draw 28.08%
LazioDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.19%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.71%

How you voted: Lazio vs Juventus

Lazio
37.1%
Draw
22.7%
Juventus
40.2%
132
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Juventus
1-0
Lazio
Bremer (44')
Cuadrado (65'), Perin (79'), Danilo (83')

Zaccagni (68')
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
3-0
Lazio
Kean (43', 54'), Milik (90')
Gatti (25')
May 16, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Vlahovic (10'), Morata (36')
Bernardeschi (45+2'), Cuadrado (68'), Ake (80')
Sandro (51' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (90+6')
Acerbi (41'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Patric (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5pm
Lazio
0-2
Juventus

Hysaj (43'), Reina (81'), Alberto (82'), Sarri (90+2')
Bonucci (23' pen., 83')
Cuadrado (28'), Allegri (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
Rabiot (39'), Morata (57', 60' pen.)
Correa (14')
Acerbi (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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