Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Cremonese
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Roma
1 - 1
AC Milan

Abraham (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saelemaekers (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
47.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05)26.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)26.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)53.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.3% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.064 0.06)56.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84%72.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.5%
    Draw 26.07%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma
34.8%
Draw
28.9%
AC Milan
36.3%
135
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 17
AC Milan
2-2
Roma
Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
Leao (26'), Bennacer (62'), Tomori (68'), Tonali (72'), Pioli (73')
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')
Celik (9'), Zalewski (30'), Zaniolo (45'), Ibanez (82'), Matic (90+1'), Abraham (90+6')
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!