/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
-
Mario Pasalic
39'
-
Rafael Toloi
74'
-
Teun Koopmeiners
84'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
83'
Atalanta BC vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F16%2Fjose-mourinho.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
49.17%
▼
(-1.24)
Draw
25.65%
▲
(+0.14)
Roma
25.18%
▲
(+1.11)
Both Teams to Score:
50.04%
▲
(+0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.86%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
53.13%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
25.29%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
74.71%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 4.5
11.54%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 4.5
88.46%
▼
(-0.19)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
78.37%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
21.63%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
45.25%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
54.75%
▲
(+0.61)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
63.86%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 0.5
36.14%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 1.5
27.08%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 1.5
72.92%
▼
(-1.17)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
49.16%
Draw
25.65%
Roma
25.18%
Atalanta BC
1-0
@
11.96%
▼
(-0.31)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.16%
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.16%
Draw
1-1
@
12.18%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.65%
0-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.65%
Roma
0-1
@
7.96%
▲
(+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.18%
1-2 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.18%
