Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta3 - 1Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Piero Gasperini (27'), de Roon (30'), Luis Palomino (86'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
Piero Gasperini (27'), de Roon (30'), Luis Palomino (86'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, April 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 0-1 Roma
Roma's total of nine victories without conceding in 2023 is a record equalled only by city rivals Lazio and champions-elect Napoli. In short, Mourinho's men know how to get the job done. A combination of their resilience and Atalanta's goal woes should see the visitors return to the capital with maximum points, all but ending their hosts' hopes of Champions League qualification. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
49.17% ( -1.24) | 25.65% ( 0.14) | 25.18% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
