Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Roma |
| 35.22% ( | 29.14% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.7% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.05% ( | 81.95% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( | 33.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( | 70.07% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( | 33.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( | 69.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( 0-0 @ 11.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.64% |