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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 1
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dybala (8' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.22% (-0.228 -0.23)29.14% (0.056000000000001 0.06)35.64% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7% (-0.194 -0.19)62.29% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (-0.142 -0.14)81.95% (0.143 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.252 -0.25)33.44% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.278 -0.28)70.07% (0.279 0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.012 0.01)33.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.21%
    Roma 35.64%
    Draw 29.13%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
23.3%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
63.0%
73
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')