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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
0 - 1
Roma


Schuurs (7'), Gineitis (78'), Milinkovic-Savic (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dybala (8' pen.)
El Shaarawy (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

The input of two tactically astute coaches is likely to result in a low-scoring game, with perhaps a single goal deciding the outcome. While the distraction of a European quarter-final looms large, Roma are back to full strength and boast more individual ability up front, so three more points could be coming their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.22% (-0.228 -0.23) 29.14% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 35.64% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7% (-0.194 -0.19)62.29% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (-0.142 -0.14)81.95% (0.143 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.252 -0.25)33.44% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.278 -0.28)70.07% (0.279 0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.012 0.01)33.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.21%
    Roma 35.64%
    Draw 29.13%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
23.3%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
63.0%
73
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Belotti (73')
Singo (7'), Lyanco (78')
Singo (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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