Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 69.78% | 19.47% | 10.75% |
| Both teams to score 40.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% | 50.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% | 72.38% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.67% | 13.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.82% | 40.18% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.28% | 52.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.53% | 86.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 14.27% 1-0 @ 14.16% 3-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 69.78% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.75% |