Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Roma
Thursday, April 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Monza
Saturday, April 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Udinese
57.58% ( -0.03)	23.57% ( -0)	18.85% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

0.06)

51.55% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65% (

0.05)

73.35% (

-0.06)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32% (

0.01)

17.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.69% (

0.02)

48.31% (

-0.02)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

0.08)

41.53% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

0.06)

78.02% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Roma 57.57%

Udinese 18.85%

Draw 23.57%

Roma	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.57%	1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.85%