Serie A Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Junior Messias 90'+3' goal
  • goal David Okereke 77'

AC Milan vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 5.00pm
Roma 1 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
Cremonese 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniel Ciofani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 71.63% (+0.85)
Draw 17.93% (-0.12)
Cremonese 10.44% (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.59% (-2.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.12% (-1.53)
Under 2.5 44.87% (+1.53)
Over 3.5 32.77% (-1.50)
Under 3.5 67.23% (+1.50)
Over 4.5 16.63% (-1.09)
Under 4.5 83.37% (+1.09)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.81% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 11.19% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 64.31% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 35.69% (+0.45)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 50.21% (-2.36)
Under 0.5 49.79% (+2.37)
Over 1.5 15.49% (-1.71)
Under 1.5 84.51% (+1.71)

Score analysis

AC Milan 71.62%
Draw 17.93%
Cremonese 10.44%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 13.36% (+0.67)
1-0 @ 12.19% (+0.69)
3-0 @ 9.76% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 5.34% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.23)
5-0 @ 2.34% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 71.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.57% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.29)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.93%
Cremonese
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.97% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 10.44%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini