Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Cremonese

Messias (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okereke (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Cremonese
71.63% ( 0.84)	17.93% ( -0.11)	10.44% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 44.59% (

-2.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

-1.53)

44.87% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

-1.49)

67.23% (

1.49)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

-0.2)

11.19% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.31% (

-0.44)

35.69% (

0.44)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.21% (

-2.36)

49.79% (

2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.49% (

-1.7)

84.51% (

1.7)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 71.62%

Cremonese 10.44%

Draw 17.93%

AC Milan	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.62%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.61% Total : 17.93%	0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.23% Total : 10.44%