Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.63%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.