MX23RW : Friday, May 3 16:47:20| >> :600:783319:783319:
Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cremonese

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Cremonese

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Cremonese (Fiorentina win 3-1 on aggregate)

Amid a packed schedule at home and abroad, Fiorentina may not be able to go at full tilt for the whole 90 minutes, but they should still do enough to progress to the final. Overcoming the Viola's first-leg lead is a step too far for cup giant-killers Cremonese, who will bow out with heads held high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
64.82% (1.538 1.54) 20.2% (-0.692 -0.69) 14.98% (-0.851 -0.85)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.255 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (1.373 1.37)43.97% (-1.377 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (1.326 1.33)66.35% (-1.329 -1.33)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.878 0.88)12.8% (-0.882 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (1.778 1.78)39.11% (-1.782 -1.78)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.298 -0.3)41.83% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.26 -0.26)78.29% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 64.81%
    Cremonese 14.98%
    Draw 20.2%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 11% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.75% (0.299 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.278 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.082 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 64.81%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.98%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina
78.0%
Draw
12.0%
Cremonese
10.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Cremonese
0-2
Fiorentina

Aiwu (73')
Cabral (20'), Gonzalez (75' pen.)
Martinez (38')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
gameweek 26
Cremonese
0-2
Fiorentina

Ferrari (51')
Mandragora (27'), Cabral (50')
Mandragora (55'), Brekalo (60')
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 1
Fiorentina
3-2
Cremonese
Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!