Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Cremonese

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Cremonese
64.82% ( 1.54)	20.2% ( -0.69)	14.98% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 50.72% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.03% (

1.37)

43.97% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.65% (

1.33)

66.35% (

-1.33)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

0.88)

12.8% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.89% (

1.78)

39.11% (

-1.78)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16% (

-0.3)

41.83% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

-0.26)

78.29% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 64.81%

Cremonese 14.98%

Draw 20.2%

Fiorentina	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.15% Total : 64.81%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.2%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.64% Total : 14.98%