Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.