Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
| 39.01% ( | 26.83% ( | 34.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( | 53.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( | 26.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( | 62.28% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( | 29.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( | 65.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.15% |