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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Bologna logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Bologna

Verdi (45+6' pen., 62')
Faraoni (56'), Duda (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dominguez (90+4')
Posch (25'), Barrow (31'), Dominguez (37'), Skorupski (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 2-2 Bologna

Bologna have netted two goals in five of their last six away games in Serie A, which ostensibly makes them favourites on Friday. However, Verona are tough to beat at the Bentegodi in 2023, losing one of their seven home games, and their knack for scoring at home suggests this could end in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
39.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.83% (0.0039999999999978 0) 34.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)53.86% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.32% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)62.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.85% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)65.94% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 39.01%
    Bologna 34.15%
    Draw 26.83%
Hellas VeronaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.15%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Bologna

Hellas Verona
26.3%
Draw
34.2%
Bologna
39.5%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Bologna
1-1
Hellas Verona
Arnautovic (21')
Bonifazi (53'), Dominguez (87'), Arnautovic (90')
Orsolini (78')
Henry (43')
Hongla (23'), Coppola (26'), Gunter (47')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Hellas Verona
2-1
Bologna
Caprari (38'), Kalinic (85')
Simeone (43'), Gunter (60')
Orsolini (14')
Skorupski (27'), Binks (45+1'), Sansone (49'), Hickey (73')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Bologna
1-0
Hellas Verona
Svanberg (78')
Dominguez (90+7')

Barak (49'), Ceccherini (84'), Faraoni (90+8')
May 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Hellas Verona
2-2
Bologna
Faraoni (2'), Kalinic (53')
Gunter (41'), Barak (49'), Kalinic (73')
De Silvestri (32'), Palacio (82')
Dijks (52'), Schouten (56'), Soriano (69')
Jan 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Bologna
1-0
Hellas Verona
Orsolini (19' pen.)
Dijks (54'), Dominguez (70')

Zaccagni (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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