Serie A
Gameweek
34
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-
Federico Dimarco
33'
-
Romelu Lukaku
74'
Roma vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Roma
25.68%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
26.48%
▼
(-0.23)
Inter Milan
47.84%
▲
(+0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
48.09%
▲
(+0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.1%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 2.5
55.9%
▼
(-0.85)
Over 3.5
22.99%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 3.5
77.01%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 4.5
10.11%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 4.5
89.89%
▼
(-0.42)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
62.78%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
37.22%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 1.5
26%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 1.5
74%
▼
(-0.49)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
76.6%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 0.5
23.39%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 1.5
42.62%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 1.5
57.38%
▼
(-0.67)
Score analysis
Roma
25.68%
Draw
26.48%
Inter Milan
47.83%
Roma
1-0
@
8.61%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 25.68%
2-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 25.68%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.48%
0-0 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.48%
Inter Milan
0-1
@
12.64%
▼
(-0.25)
0-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.83%
0-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.83%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Federico Dimarco
30'
-
Paulo Dybala
39'
-
Chris Smalling
75'
Serie A
Gameweek
34
-
Denzel Dumfries
30'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
40'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
45'+1'
-
Lautaro Martinez
52'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
87'
-
Gianluca Mancini
36'
-
Sergio Oliveira
79'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
85'
Coppa Italia
-
Edin Dzeko
2'
-
Alexis Sanchez
68'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
37'
-
Gianluca Mancini
38'
-
Jose Mourinho
45'+2'
Serie A
Gameweek
16
-
Ibanez
37'
-
Gianluca Mancini
63'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
75'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
15'
-
Edin Dzeko
24'
-
Denzel Dumfries
39'
-
Nicolo Barella
47'
Serie A
Gameweek
36
-
Marcelo Brozovic
11'
-
Matias Vecino
20'
-
Romelu Lukaku
90'
-
Ebrima Darboe
6'
-
Davide Santon
28'
-
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
31'
-
Marash Kumbulla
71'
-
Rick Karsdorp
82'
Serie A
Gameweek
17
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
17'
-
Chris Smalling
45'+1'
-
Gianluca Mancini
65'
-
Gonzalo Villar
76'
-
Gianluca Mancini
86'
-
Romelu Lukaku
43'
-
Milan Skriniar
56'
-
Achraf Hakimi
63'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
67'
-
Ivan Perisic
90'+5'