Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

May 6, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
0 - 2
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-6 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
25.68% ( 0.03)	26.48% ( -0.23)	47.84% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.1% (

0.85)

55.9% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99% (

0.69)

77.01% (

-0.69)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78% (

0.49)

37.22% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26% (

0.48)

74% (

-0.48)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.46)

23.39% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.67)

57.38% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Roma 25.68%

Inter Milan 47.83%

Draw 26.48%

Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.68%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83%