Roma came out on top with a three-goal victory the last time that these two sides met, but a tighter affair could be in store on Wednesday considering that Monza have come on leaps and bounds in recent weeks.
There is more pressure riding on the visitors to claim maximum points as they endeavour to climb into the top four, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to secure a hard-fought point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
1.08) 
-1.48) 
