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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Roma logo
Monza
1 - 1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Ciurria (43'), Izzo (90'), Pessina (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Shaarawy (24')
Mourinho (35'), Cristante (53'), Pellegrini (58'), Dybala (90+3'), Celik (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-1 Roma

Roma came out on top with a three-goal victory the last time that these two sides met, but a tighter affair could be in store on Wednesday considering that Monza have come on leaps and bounds in recent weeks. There is more pressure riding on the visitors to claim maximum points as they endeavour to climb into the top four, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to secure a hard-fought point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MonzaDrawRoma
36.07% (1.077 1.08) 27.41% (0.4 0.4) 36.52% (-1.475 -1.48)
Both teams to score 49.6% (-1.194 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-1.527 -1.53)56.02% (1.53 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-1.255 -1.26)77.1% (1.258 1.26)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)29.71% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.77% (0.10199999999999 0.1)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-1.61 -1.61)29.43% (1.614 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-2.017 -2.02)65.43% (2.02 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 36.06%
    Roma 36.51%
    Draw 27.41%
MonzaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.342 0.34)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.503 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.51%

How you voted: Monza vs Roma

Monza
25.8%
Draw
23.6%
Roma
50.6%
89
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')

Pepin (20')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan1512213773038
2Juventus1511312391436
3AC Milan159242618829
4Roma1473427161124
5Napoli157352618824
6Atalanta BCAtalanta157262418623
7Fiorentina147252317623
8Bologna145721611522
9Lazio156361616021
10Torino145451316-319
11Monza144641514118
12FrosinoneFrosinone145362024-418
13Lecce143741619-316
14Genoa144371519-415
15SassuoloSassuolo144372126-515
16Udinese151951225-1312
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona152581322-911
18Empoli14329926-1711
19CagliariCagliari142481326-1310
20Salernitana141581028-188

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