Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 1
Roma

Caldirola (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

El Shaarawy (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Roma
36.07% ( 1.08)	27.41% ( 0.4)	36.52% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98% (

-1.53)

56.02% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9% (

-1.26)

77.1% (

1.26)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

-0.08)

29.71% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

-0.1)

65.77% (

0.1)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-1.61)

29.43% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57% (

-2.02)

65.43% (

2.02)

Score Analysis

Monza 36.06%

Roma 36.51%

Draw 27.41%

Monza	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.06%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.51%