Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 2
Monza

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ciurria (21'), Augusto (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Monza
30.63%	25.52% ( 0)	43.85% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57% (

49.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53% (

71.47% (

-0)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

29.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91% (

66.09% (

-0)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

22.48% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96% (

56.03% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Spezia 30.63%

Monza 43.84%

Draw 25.52%

Spezia	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.63%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.84%