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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Monza
Spezia
0 - 2
Monza

Gyasi (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ciurria (21'), Augusto (90+3')
Birindelli (68'), Sensi (90+2'), Palladino (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Monza

Spezia have shown great spirit to draw three of their last four matches and remain outside the relegation zone, so we expect the hosts to hold Monza at Stadio Alberto Picco, with a familiar scoreline in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawMonza
30.63%25.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 30.63%
    Monza 43.84%
    Draw 25.52%
SpeziaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Spezia vs Monza

Spezia
25.0%
Draw
20.3%
Monza
54.7%
64
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 9
Monza
2-0
Spezia
Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus1511312391436
2Inter Milan1411213372635
3AC Milan159242618829
4Roma1473427161124
5Napoli157352618824
6Atalanta BCAtalanta157262418623
7Fiorentina147252317623
8Bologna145721611522
9Lazio156361616021
10Torino145451316-319
11Monza144641514118
12FrosinoneFrosinone145362024-418
13Lecce143741619-316
14Genoa144371519-415
15SassuoloSassuolo144372126-515
16Udinese141941221-912
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona152581322-911
18Empoli14329926-1711
19CagliariCagliari142481326-1310
20Salernitana141581028-188

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