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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Monza

Spezia
0 - 2
Monza


Gyasi (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ciurria (21'), Augusto (90+3')
Birindelli (68'), Sensi (90+2'), Palladino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Monza

Spezia have shown great spirit to draw three of their last four matches and remain outside the relegation zone, so we expect the hosts to hold Monza at Stadio Alberto Picco, with a familiar scoreline in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawMonza
30.63%25.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 30.63%
    Monza 43.84%
    Draw 25.52%
SpeziaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Spezia vs Monza

Spezia
25.0%
Draw
20.3%
Monza
54.7%
64
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 9
Monza
2-0
Spezia
Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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