Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • goal Patrick Ciurria 21'
  • goal Carlos Augusto 90'+3'

Spezia vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 7.45pm
Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
Monza 3 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Carlos Augusto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result

Spezia 30.63%
Draw 25.52% (+0.01)
Monza 43.85% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.28% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.57% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.43% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.53% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.47% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.67% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.33% (-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 70.02% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.97% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.09% (-0.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 77.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.48% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.03% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Spezia 30.63%
Draw 25.52%
Monza 43.84%
Spezia
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
Monza
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.84%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Carlos Augusto 32' goal
  • Pablo Mari 63' goal