Champions League
AC Milan
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Inter Milan
  • goal Edin Dzeko 8'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 11'

AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Inter Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 29.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 27.89% ▲ (+0.35)
Inter Milan 42.43% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.68% ▼ (-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.02% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 2.5 58.97% ▲ (+1.21)
Over 3.5 20.55% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 3.5 79.45% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 4.5 8.65% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 91.34% ▲ (+0.56)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 64.36% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 35.64% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 27.59% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 1.5 72.41% ▲ (+0.67)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 0.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 1.5 37.03% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 62.96% ▲ (+0.99)

Score analysis

AC Milan 29.67%
Draw 27.89%
Inter Milan 42.43%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.89%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.31)
1-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.43%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 34' goal
Supercoppa Italiana
AC Milan
Jan 18, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • goal Federico Dimarco 10'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 77'
Serie A Gameweek 5
AC Milan
Sep 3, 2022 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
  • Theo Hernandez 9' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 28' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 32' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 51' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 54' goal
  • Rafael Leao 60' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 77' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 9'
  • goal Marcelo Brozovic 21'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 39'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 67'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 71'
Coppa Italia
Inter Milan
Apr 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
  • Lautaro Martinez 4' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 40' goal
  • Milan Skriniar 50' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 82' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 35'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'
Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Mar 1, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Milan
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 33'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 58'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Inter Milan
Feb 5, 2022 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Ivan Perisic 38' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 60' yellowcard
  • Milan Skriniar 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 21'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 72'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 75'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 76'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 78'
  • yellowcard Rade Krunic 90'+1'
  • redcard Theo Hernandez 90'+5'

Form Data

AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cremonese
Roma 1 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Napoli 1 - 1 AC Milan
Bologna 1 - 1 AC Milan
Roma 0 - 2 Inter Milan
Hellas Verona 0 - 6 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 1 Lazio
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Juventus
Empoli 0 - 3 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 3 Benfica

Build-up

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