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Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

AC Milan
5 - 1
Sampdoria

Leao (9'), Giroud (23', 29' pen., 68'), Diaz (63')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Quagliarella (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Empoli
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
77.75% (0.158 0.16)15.2% (-0.105 -0.11)7.05% (-0.0531 -0.05)
Both teams to score 39.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (0.278 0.28)43.84% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (0.27 0.27)66.23% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.108 0.11)9.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.47% (0.254 0.25)31.53% (-0.254 -0.25)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.1% (0.038999999999994 0.04)56.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)88.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 77.74%
    Sampdoria 7.05%
    Draw 15.2%
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 14.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 11.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.99% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.31% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 77.74%
1-1 @ 7.11% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.2%
0-1 @ 3% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 7.05%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sampdoria

AC Milan
82.8%
Draw
12.1%
Sampdoria
5.2%
58
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Duricic (57')
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')
Feb 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 25
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Leao (8')
Diaz (19'), Romagnoli (26'), Bennacer (60')

Rincon (10')
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan

Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')
Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Petter Hauge (87')
Saelemaekers (45'), Bennacer (50')
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')