/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsamlog.png)
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Rafael Leao
9'
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Olivier Giroud
23'
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Olivier Giroud
29'
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Brahim Diaz
63'
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Olivier Giroud
68'
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Fabio Quagliarella
20'
AC Milan vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
77.75%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
15.2%
▼
(-0.11)
Sampdoria
7.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
39.07%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.16%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 2.5
43.84%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 3.5
33.77%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
66.23%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 4.5
17.36%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 4.5
82.64%
▼
(-0.20)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
90.64%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
9.36%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
68.47%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
31.53%
▼
(-0.26)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5
43.1%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
56.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
11.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
88.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
AC Milan
77.74%
Draw
15.2%
Sampdoria
7.05%
AC Milan
2-0
@
14.94%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 12.61% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 77.74%
1-0 @ 12.61% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 77.74%
Draw
1-1
@
7.11%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.2%
0-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.2%
Sampdoria
0-1
@
3%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 7.05%
1-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 7.05%
Adrien Silva
59'