Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
| 38.14% ( | 27.61% ( | 34.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( | 56.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( | 77.81% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( | 31.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( | 67.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.24% |