Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
| 31.29% ( | 28.02% ( | 40.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.07% ( | 58.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% ( | 79.42% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( | 34.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( | 71.12% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( | 28.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 7% ( 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.69% |