Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
1 - 2
Atalanta

Sanabria (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Atalanta BC
32.29% ( -0.05)	27.53% ( 0)	40.18% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.69% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.1% (

-0.03)

56.9% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.18% (

-0.02)

77.81% (

0.02)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37% (

-0.05)

32.63% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

-0.05)

69.17% (

0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

0.01)

27.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

0.01)

63.29% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Torino 32.29%

Atalanta BC 40.17%

Draw 27.52%

Torino	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.17%