Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.