Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.