Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

May 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
2 - 1
Salernitana

Cambiaghi (37'), Caputo (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Piatek (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 3-1 Bologna
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Salernitana
50.51% ( -0.42)	24.75% ( 0.25)	24.74% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.1% (

-0.88)

49.9% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11% (

-0.79)

71.89% (

0.79)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

-0.51)

19.76% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.19% (

-0.84)

51.8% (

0.84)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24% (

-0.33)

34.76% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.51% (

-0.35)

71.49% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Empoli 50.5%

Salernitana 24.74%

Draw 24.74%

Empoli	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.5%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.74%