Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
3 - 3
Fiorentina

Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Fiorentina
14.73% ( 1.3)	19.89% ( 1.16)	65.38% ( -2.45)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

-2.38)

43.09% (

2.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

-2.39)

65.49% (

2.39)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37% (

0.38)

41.63% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.88% (

0.33)

78.11% (

-0.33)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.63% (

-1.35)

12.37% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.77% (

-2.9)

38.23% (

2.9)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 14.73%

Fiorentina 65.37%

Draw 19.89%

Salernitana	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.73%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.58) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.89%	0-2 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 4.09% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.15) 1-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.35% Total : 65.37%