Serie A Gameweek 33
Salernitana
May 3, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Arechi
Fiorentina
  • Boulaye Dia 10' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 59' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 81' goal
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 36'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 71'
  • goal Cristiano Biraghi 84'

Salernitana vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
Napoli 1 - 1 Salernitana
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 5.00pm
Fiorentina 5 - 0 Sampdoria
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Arthur Cabral

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Salernitana 14.73% ▲ (+1.30)
Draw 19.89% ▲ (+1.16)
Fiorentina 65.38% ▼ (-2.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.14% ▼ (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.91% ▼ (-2.38)
Under 2.5 43.09% ▲ (+2.38)
Over 3.5 34.51% ▼ (-2.40)
Under 3.5 65.49% ▲ (+2.40)
Over 4.5 17.9% ▼ (-1.81)
Under 4.5 82.1% ▲ (+1.81)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 58.37% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 41.63% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 21.88% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 78.11% ▼ (-0.33)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 87.63% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 0.5 12.37% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 1.5 61.77% ▼ (-2.91)
Under 1.5 38.23% ▲ (+2.91)

Score analysis

Salernitana 14.73%
Draw 19.89%
Fiorentina 65.37%
Salernitana
1-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 14.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.58)
0-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.53)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 19.89%
Fiorentina
0-2 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.55)
1-2 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.45)
1-3 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.32)
0-4 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.47)
1-4 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.38)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.11)
0-5 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.31)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.15)
1-5 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 65.37%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 15' goal
  • Luka Jovic 81' goal
  • goal Boulaye Dia 55'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Salernitana
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Milan Djuric 9' goal
  • Norbert Gyomber 22' yellowcard
  • Federico Bonazzoli 79' goal
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 64'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 82'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
Dec 11, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Salernitana
  • Nikola Milenkovic 11' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 31' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 51' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 84' goal
  • Youssef Maleh 90' goal
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 20'

Form Data

Napoli 1 - 1 Salernitana
Salernitana 3 - 0 Sassuolo
Torino 1 - 1 Salernitana
Salernitana 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Spezia 1 - 1 Salernitana
Salernitana 2 - 2 Bologna
Fiorentina 5 - 0 Sampdoria
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Cremonese
Monza 3 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 3 Lech Poznan
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta
Lech Poznan 1 - 4 Fiorentina