Serie A
Gameweek
38
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-
Olivier Giroud
45'+2'
-
Rafael Leao
85'
-
Rafael Leao
90'+2'
-
Davide Faraoni
72'
AC Milan vs Hellas Verona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
72.5%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
18.07%
▲
(+0.03)
Hellas Verona
9.43%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
40.47%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
48.35%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
29.52%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
70.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
14.34%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
85.66%
▼
(-0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
88.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
11.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
62.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
37.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5
45.94%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
54.06%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
12.69%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
87.31%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
AC Milan
72.48%
Draw
18.07%
Hellas Verona
9.43%
AC Milan
2-0
@
14.57%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 13.7% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 72.48%
1-0 @ 13.7% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 72.48%
Draw
1-1
@
8.43%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.07%
0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 18.07%
Hellas Verona
0-1
@
3.97%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 9.43%
1-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 9.43%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
10
-
Koray Gunter
19'
-
Miguel Veloso
9'
(OG)
-
Sandro Tonali
81'
Serie A
Gameweek
36
-
Davide Faraoni
38'
-
Davide Faraoni
45'+1'
-
Ivan Ilic
70'
-
Rafael Leao
45'+1'
-
Sandro Tonali
45'+3'
-
Sandro Tonali
50'
-
Alessandro Florenzi
86'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Olivier Giroud
59'
-
Franck Kessie
76'
-
Koray Gunter
78'
-
Fode Ballo-Toure
81'
-
Federico Ceccherini
5'
-
Gianluca Caprari
7'
-
Antonin Barak
24'
-
Nikola Kalinic
25'
-
Nicolo Casale
38'
-
Miguel Veloso
54'
Serie A
Gameweek
26
-
Giangiacomo Magnani
26'
-
Daniel Bessa
90'+3'
-
Rade Krunic
27'
-
Diogo Dalot
50'
Serie A
Gameweek
7
-
Giangiacomo Magnani
27'
-
Ismael Bennacer
54'
-
Zlatan Ibrahimovic
90'+3'
-
Antonin Barak
6'
-
Davide Calabria
19'
(OG)
-
Federico Ceccherini
33'
-
Matteo Lovato
42'
-
Adrien Tameze
90'+1'
Serie A
Gameweek
22
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
29'
-
Theo Hernandez
45'
-
Davide Faraoni
13'
-
Amir Rrahmani
24'
-
Sofyan Amrabat
68'
-
Matteo Pessina
86'
-
Fabio Borini
90'
-
Marco Silvestri
90'