Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 1
Hellas Verona

Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Faraoni (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-1 AC Milan
Sunday, May 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
72.5% ( -0.09)	18.07% ( 0.03)	9.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 40.47% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66% (

0.07)

48.35% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52% (

0.07)

70.49% (

-0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.08% (

-0)

11.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.72% (

-0.01)

37.28% (

0.01)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.94% (

0.18)

54.06% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.69% (

0.11)

87.31% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 72.48%

Hellas Verona 9.43%

Draw 18.07%

AC Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 14.57% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 72.48%	1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.07%	0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 9.43%