Milan have scored the most goals (21) during the first half-hour of games this season; Verona have conceded more times (10) from the 90th minute onwards than any other side.
Drama is surely in store, then, when the two teams meet at San Siro, where defeat for the visitors could send them down depending on how Spezia fare in the capital.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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