Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.