Serie A Gameweek 36
Atalanta
May 20, 2023 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Hellas Verona
  • Davide Zappacosta 22' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 53' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 62' goal
  • goal Darko Lazovic 11'

Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 2.00pm
Salernitana 1 - 0 Atalanta
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ademola Lookman

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 11.30am
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Simone Verdi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 61.7% ▲ (+0.68)
Draw 22.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Hellas Verona 16.28% ▼ (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% ▼ (-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.72% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 2.5 49.28% ▲ (+1.51)
Over 3.5 28.66% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 3.5 71.34% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 4.5 13.76% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 4.5 86.24% ▲ (+0.95)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 84.54% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 0.5 15.46% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 55.67% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 44.33% ▲ (+0.54)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5 56.67% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 0.5 43.33% ▲ (+1.85)
Over 1.5 20.44% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 1.5 79.56% ▲ (+1.59)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 61.69%
Draw 22.02%
Hellas Verona 16.28%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.65)
2-0 @ 11.67% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.19)
5-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 61.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.02%
Hellas Verona
0-1 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.28%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 3
Hellas Verona
Aug 28, 2022 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Atalanta
  • Federico Ceccherini 61' yellowcard
  • Isak Hien 82' yellowcard
  • Thomas Henry 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brandon Soppy 23'
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 32'
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 38'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 50'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 59'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Atalanta
Apr 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Hellas Verona
  • Jose Luis Palomino 25' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 30' yellowcard
  • Teun Koopmeiners 58' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Scalvini 82' goal
  • yellowcard Koray Gunter 9'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Casale 21'
  • goal Federico Ceccherini 45'+2'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard Federico Ceccherini 67'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Hellas Verona
Dec 12, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Atalanta
  • Giovanni Simeone 22' goal
  • Federico Ceccherini 42' yellowcard
  • Igor Tudor 90' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Caprari 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksei Miranchuk 37'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 62'
  • yellowcard Duvan Zapata 86'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Hellas Verona
Mar 21, 2021 11.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Atalanta
  • Federico Ceccherini 27' yellowcard
  • Pawel Dawidowicz 28' yellowcard
  • Stefano Sturaro 72' yellowcard
  • goal Ruslan Malinovskyi 33'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 42'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 60'
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero 64'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Atalanta
Nov 28, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Hellas Verona
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 20' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 60' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Ceccherini 39'
  • yellowcard Pawel Dawidowicz 45'
  • goal Miguel Veloso 62'
  • yellowcard Miguel Veloso 82'
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 83'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Hellas Verona
Jul 18, 2020 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Marc Antonio Bentegodi
Atalanta
  • Sofyan Amrabat 41' yellowcard
  • Matteo Pessina 59' goal
  • Matteo Pessina 84' yellowcard
  • goal Duvan Zapata 50'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 64'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 85'

Form Data

Salernitana 1 - 0 Atalanta
Atalanta 0 - 2 Juventus
Atalanta 3 - 2 Spezia
Torino 1 - 2 Atalanta
Atalanta 3 - 1 Roma
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Torino
Lecce 0 - 1 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 0 - 6 Inter Milan
Cremonese 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona 2 - 1 Bologna
Napoli 0 - 0 Hellas Verona