Serie A Gameweek 33
Atalanta
May 3, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
Spezia
  • Marten de Roon 32' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 48' goal
  • Luis Muriel 54' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Gyasi 18'
  • goal Mehdi Bourabia 64'

Atalanta BC vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 7.45pm
Torino 1 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ademola Lookman

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Spezia 0 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 67.69% ▲ (+0.38)
Draw 18.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Spezia 13.52% ▼ (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68% ▼ (-1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.27% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 2.5 40.73% ▲ (+1.41)
Over 3.5 36.88% ▼ (-1.45)
Under 3.5 63.12% ▲ (+1.46)
Over 4.5 19.69% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 4.5 80.31% ▲ (+1.13)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 88.93% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 11.06% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 64.58% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 35.42% ▲ (+0.67)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 58.11% ▼ (-1.55)
Under 0.5 41.89% ▲ (+1.55)
Over 1.5 21.66% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 1.5 78.34% ▲ (+1.38)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 67.69%
Draw 18.79%
Spezia 13.52%
Atalanta BC
2-0 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.46)
1-0 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.53)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.19)
5-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 67.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 18.79%
Spezia
0-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.52%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Atalanta
Jan 19, 2023 2.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT Gewiss Stadium
Spezia
  • Ademola Lookman 10' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 12' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 26' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 72' goal
  • Ethan Ampadu 90' goal
  • goal Albin Ekdal 14'
  • goal Daniele Verde 38'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Spezia
Jan 4, 2023 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
Atalanta
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 8' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 31' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 77'
  • goal Mario Pasalic 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Spezia
May 8, 2022 11.30am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Atalanta
  • Daniele Verde 30' goal
  • Simone Bastoni 41' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 44' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Muriel 16'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 53'
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 57'
  • yellowcard Luis Muriel 62'
  • goal Berat Djimsiti 73'
  • goal Mario Pasalic 87'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Atalanta
Nov 20, 2021 2.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Spezia
  • Teun Koopmeiners 10' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 18' goal
  • Duvan Zapata 38' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 41' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 71' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 83' goal
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 89' goal
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 5'
  • goal Mbala N'Zola 11'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Sala 36'
  • yellowcard Petko Hristov 49'
  • goal Mbala N'Zola 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Atalanta
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Spezia
  • Rafael Toloi 8' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 25' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 54' goal
  • Luis Muriel 55' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 73' goal
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 82'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Spezia
Nov 21, 2020 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Matteo Ricci 3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estevez 28' yellowcard
  • Claudio Terzi 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 38'
  • yellowcard Mario Pasalic 52'
  • yellowcard Matteo Pessina 85'

Form Data

Torino 1 - 2 Atalanta
Atalanta 3 - 1 Roma
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 0 - 2 Bologna
Cremonese 1 - 3 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 1 Empoli
Spezia 0 - 2 Monza
Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia
Spezia 0 - 3 Lazio
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Spezia
Spezia 1 - 1 Salernitana
Sassuolo 1 - 0 Spezia