Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Spezia |
67.69% ( 0.37) | 18.79% ( 0.07) | 13.52% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( -1.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.27% ( -1.4) | 40.73% ( 1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.88% ( -1.45) | 63.12% ( 1.45) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% ( -0.3) | 11.06% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.58% ( -0.66) | 35.42% ( 0.66) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.11% ( -1.54) | 41.89% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.66% ( -1.37) | 78.34% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.02% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.79% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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