Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 13, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 0
Atalanta

Candreva (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Salernitana
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, May 7 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Atalanta BC
18.91% ( -0.07)	22.46% ( -0.02)	58.63% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.03% (

-0.02)

46.97% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.78% (

-0.02)

69.22% (

0.02)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2% (

-0.09)

38.8% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.47% (

-0.08)

75.53% (

0.08)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31% (

0.02)

15.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.25% (

0.04)

44.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 18.91%

Atalanta BC 58.63%

Draw 22.46%

Salernitana	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.91%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.46%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.63%