Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 35.38% ( | 25.96% ( | 38.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% ( | 50.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% ( | 72.05% ( |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( | 27.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( | 62.68% ( |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.65% |