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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
AFC Wimbledon

Chelsea
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Madueke (45+1' pen.), Fernandez (72')
Maatsen (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tilley (19' pen.)
Pearce (47'), Pell (51')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea book their spot in the third round of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 2-1 victory over League Two outfit AFC Wimbledon at Stamford Bridge.

Team News

Marc Cucurella - linked with a move to Manchester United - starts for Chelsea against AFC Wimbledon in the EFL Cup second round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup second-round clash with AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Luton
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Premier League

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawAFC Wimbledon
56.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)23.35%19.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82%49.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75%71.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85%17.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)47.38% (0.00099999999999767 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 56.66%
    AFC Wimbledon 19.99%
    Draw 23.34%
ChelseaDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.3%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 19.99%

How you voted: Chelsea vs AFC Wimbledon

Chelsea
83.8%
AFC Wimbledon
16.2%
136
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Chelsea
Bennett (1'), Tubbs (40' pen.)
Terry (74', 90'), Salah (83')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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