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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Wrexham AFC

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Wrexham

Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Coventry
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Wigan (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
26.73% (0.176 0.18)25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.87% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.15600000000001 0.16)33.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.166 0.17)70.37% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.115 -0.12)54.3% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.73%
    Wrexham 47.86%
    Draw 25.4%
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.86%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Wrexham
28.6%
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