Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.