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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 33.1% ( | 27.6% ( | 39.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( | 57.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% ( | 77.9% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( | 32.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% ( | 68.61% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( | 63.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.29% |