League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jordan Roberts 4' goal
  • Jamie Reid 61' goal
  • goal Ali Al-Hamadi 11'

Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Hartlepool 1 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 3 Salford City
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

Stevenage 56.39% (+0.06)
Draw 24.24% (-0.02)
AFC Wimbledon 19.36% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.02% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.01% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.99% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.63% (-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 81.17% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 18.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.73% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.27% (-0.05)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 57.93% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.07% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 78.49% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Stevenage 56.39%
Draw 24.24%
AFC Wimbledon 19.36%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 13.22%
2-0 @ 11.04% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 56.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.24%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.36%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 22
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 39' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 74' goal
  • goal Carl Piergianni 55'
  • goal Kasey McAteer 61' (OG)
  • goal Luke Norris 83'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 8
Nov 12, 2018 11.00pm
EFL Trophy Gameweek 7
Nov 6, 2018 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium (Kingston upon Thames, Surrey)
  • Kwesi Appiah 1' goal
  • Anthony Wordsworth 28' goal
  • Tyler Garratt 68' goal
  • Alfie Egan 78' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Ball 23'
League Two
Apr 30, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Tonge 10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 48'
League Two
Dec 12, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karleigh Osborne 14' yellowcard
  • George Francomb 43' goal
  • goal Jamille Matt 57'
  • goal Jerome Okimo 76'
League Two
Jan 10, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tom Pett 32' goal
  • Simon Walton 69' goal
  • yellowcard Adedeji Oshilaja 18'
  • goal George Francomb 35'
  • yellowcard Barry Fuller 75'