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Championship header 2

League Two

Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Stevenage
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Roberts (4'), Reid (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Al-Hamadi (11')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-3 Salford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawAFC Wimbledon
56.39% (0.050999999999995 0.05)24.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)19.36% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.02% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)53.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (0.013999999999999 0.01)74.99% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.73% (0.043999999999997 0.04)50.27% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)42.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (-0.029 -0.03)78.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 56.39%
    AFC Wimbledon 19.36%
    Draw 24.24%
StevenageDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.22%
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.39%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.36%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Stevenage
Al-Hamadi (39', 74')
Marsh (53'), Kalambayi (60')
Piergianni (55'), McAteer (61' og.), Norris (83')
Clark (43'), Sweeney (60'), Gilbey (70'), Roberts (80')
Nov 12, 2018
11pm
AFC Wimbledon  
vs.
  Stevenage
Nov 6, 2018 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Stevenage
Appiah (1'), Wordsworth (28'), Garratt (68'), Egan (78')

Ball (23')
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Stevenage
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Tonge (10')

Robinson (48')
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Stevenage
Francomb (43')
Osborne (14')
Matt (57'), Okimo (76')
rhs 2.0


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