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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Stevenage

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Stevenage

Featherstone (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rose (25')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-4 Hartlepool
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Colchester
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawStevenage
24.31% (0.314 0.31)25.07% (0.126 0.13)50.62% (-0.441 -0.44)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.227 -0.23)51.54% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.2 -0.2)73.34% (0.2 0.2)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97% (0.156 0.16)36.03% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19% (0.159 0.16)72.81% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.271 -0.27)20.37% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-0.434 -0.43)52.77% (0.435 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 24.31%
    Stevenage 50.62%
    Draw 25.07%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.08% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.07% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.31%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.29% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 50.62%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Hartlepool
Rose (79')

Umerah (27')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Stevenage
Featherstone (77')
Molyneux (90+2')
Norris (70' pen.)
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-0
Hartlepool
Reid (21'), List (46')
J (44'), Vancooten (58')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Stevenage
Featherstone (41'), Walker (45')
Oates (61')

Tonge (86'), Lee (87')
Sep 3, 2016 3pm
Stevenage
6-1
Hartlepool
Pett (27'), Walker (44', 57'), Wells (53'), Tonge (69' pen.), Godden (78')
Ntlhe (34')
Thomas (4')
Richards (43'), Harrison (83')