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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
24.31% ( 0.31) | 25.07% ( 0.13) | 50.62% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( -0.23) | 51.54% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( -0.2) | 73.34% ( 0.2) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% ( 0.16) | 36.03% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% ( 0.16) | 72.81% ( -0.16) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -0.27) | 20.37% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( -0.43) | 52.77% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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