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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Hartlepool United

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Hartlepool

Efete (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemp (19', 68' pen., 72'), Umerah (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 3-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawHartlepool United
50.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)25.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)52.27% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.97% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)20.72% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)53.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.47% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)73.26% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 50.48%
    Hartlepool United 24.27%
    Draw 25.24%
Grimsby TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.89%
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.27%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Hartlepool

Grimsby Town
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Hartlepool United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Grimsby Town
Lacey (78'), Maher (82' og.)
Tumilty (17')
Holohan (6')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Grimsby Town

Featherstone (75')
Yussuf (34')
Comley (82'), Bogle (93')
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Hartlepool
Amond (25', 36'), Thomas (60')
Carroll (4'), Thomas (62')
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Grimsby Town
Monkhouse (82'), Daly (52')
Barron (12'), Clark (28')

Paterson (66'), Pulis (85')
Sep 26, 2006 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-4
Hartlepool
Fenton (16')
Ravenhill (51'), Fenton (61'), Croft (81')
Liddle (52'), Porter (90'), Daly (85', 45')