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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Telford (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clifton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
45.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)26.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73% (0.023999999999994 0.02)56.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69% (0.02 0.02)77.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.58% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)72.7% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.65%
    Grimsby Town 27.47%
    Draw 26.86%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
45.7%
Draw
17.1%
Grimsby Town
37.1%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Grimsby Town
3-0
Crawley
Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')

Lynch (3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Grimsby Town
Palmer (16', 69'), Nadesan (77')
Nadesan (58'), Doherty (85')
Whitehouse (21'), Hanson (32')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Crawley
Hessenthaler (2')
Gibson (25'), Hendrie (59'), Clifton (62')
Nadesan (37')
Lubala (43'), McNerney (93')