League Two
Gameweek
38
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Dom Telford
35'
-
Dion Conroy
39'
Crawley Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result
Crawley Town
47.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
25.89%
▲
(+0.04)
Rochdale
26.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.78%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.11%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
52.88%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
25.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
74.49%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
11.67%
Under 4.5
88.32%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
77.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
22.4%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
44.09%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
55.91%
▲
(+0.11)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5
65.43%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
34.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
28.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
71.28%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
47.2%
Draw
25.89%
Rochdale
26.9%
Crawley Town
1-0
@
11.58%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 47.2%
2-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 47.2%
Draw
1-1
@
12.3%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.89%
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.89%
Rochdale
0-1
@
8.22%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.9%
1-2 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.9%
Nick Tsaroulla
86'