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Championship header 2

League Two

Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Gillingham

Rochdale
0 - 2
Gillingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hawkins (23'), Lapslie (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawGillingham
45.18% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)28.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)26.53% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 43.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.32% (0.091000000000001 0.09)61.68% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.5% (0.067 0.07)81.5% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)27.3% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.12 0.12)39.7% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (0.11 0.11)76.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 45.18%
    Gillingham 26.52%
    Draw 28.28%
RochdaleDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 14.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 26.52%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Rochdale
Kashket (9')
Ehmer (21'), Wright (39'), Law (88')

Odoh (88')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gillingham
2-2
Rochdale
Oliver (43'), Akinde (90+3')
Oliver (63')
Keohane (69', 75')
Lund (11'), Baah (85')
Dec 19, 2020 1pm
Rochdale
1-4
Gillingham
O'Connell (90+2')
O'Connell (90+4')
McKenzie (9'), Akinde (21', 47'), Ogilvie (45+1')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Rochdale
2-2
Gillingham
Henderson (28' pen.), Dooley (68')
Ryan (45')
Roberts (32', 59')
Roberts (76')
Dec 29, 2019 1pm
Gillingham
1-0
Rochdale
Ogilvie (86')
Lee (81'), Ogilvie (96'), O'Keefe (97')

Keohane (28'), O'Connell (57'), Camps (67'), Baah (69'), Sanchez (79'), Williams (96')
Williams (96')