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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 27.46% ( | 26.17% ( | 46.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( | 75.13% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( | 34.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( | 71.23% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( | 23.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( | 56.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.46% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0-2 @ 8.56% ( 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.37% |