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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Swindon Town

Rochdale
4 - 4
Swindon

Rodney (22'), Lloyd (25'), Odoh (71'), Henderson (90+4')
Dodgson (63'), Mullarkey (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Austin (2', 14', 74', 79')
Clayton (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Swindon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSwindon Town
27.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 46.37% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (0.121 0.12)53.64% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (0.101 0.1)75.13% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (0.049999999999997 0.05)34.52% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)71.23% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.073999999999998 0.07)23.1% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (0.108 0.11)56.95% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 27.46%
    Swindon Town 46.37%
    Draw 26.16%
RochdaleDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 27.46%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 46.37%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Rochdale
Wakeling (1'), Williams (50'), McKirdy (81')
Khan (41'), Gladwin (76')

Nelson (66'), Brierley (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-2
Rochdale
Gladwin (37'), Williams (90+3')
Mitchell-Lawson (82')
Broadbent (57'), Kelly (79')
O'Keeffe (13'), O'Connell (45+1')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-1
Rochdale
Smith (4'), Grant (33'), Smith (41')
Jaiyesimi (46'), Pitman (90')
Keohane (90+3')
Lund (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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