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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 55.72% ( | 23.89% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( | 50.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( | 72.74% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( | 18.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( | 49.04% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( | 39.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( | 76.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.71% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.38% |