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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Harrogate Town

Swindon
3 - 0
Harrogate

Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Swindon
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town
59.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)19.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)42.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.85% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)41.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)35.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 59.32%
    Harrogate Town 19.16%
    Draw 21.51%
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.53%
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.32%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0


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