League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 8' goal
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 40' goal
  • Joe Tomlinson 78' goal

Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Salford City 1 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jonny Williams

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Grimsby Town 0 - 0 Harrogate
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Luke Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result

Swindon Town 59.32% (-0.01)
Draw 21.52% (+0.01)
Harrogate Town 19.16% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.17% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.55% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.45% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.14% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 64.85% (-0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 86.04% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.95% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.56% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.43% (-0.01)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.66% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 59.32%
Draw 21.51%
Harrogate Town 19.16%
Swindon Town
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.53%
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22%
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.51%
Harrogate Town
1-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Warren Burrell 10' yellowcard
  • Stephen Dooley 28' yellowcard
  • Alex Pattison 43' goal
  • Matty Daly 51' goal
  • Josh Austerfield 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Muldoon 76' goal
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Josh Austerfield 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Luke Armstrong 90'+4' goal
  • goal Louie Barry 24'
  • goal Louie Barry 30'
  • goal Josh Davison 51'
  • goal Josh Davison 63'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Payne 83' goal
  • Akinwale Odimayo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Ellis Iandolo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Diamond 24'
  • yellowcard Josh Falkingham 66'
  • yellowcard Lewis Page 75'
  • yellowcard Connor Hall 90'+7'