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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 23.39% | 23.72% | 52.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( | 46.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( | 69.1% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% | 34.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% | 70.97% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% ( | 48.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.39% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 5.63% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.88% |