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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 43.89% ( | 26.24% ( | 29.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( | 52.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( | 74.35% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% | 32.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.32% ( | 68.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.87% |