Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Stockport County |
21.71% ( -1.35) | 25.34% ( -0.59) | 52.95% ( 1.94) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.04% ( 0.91) | 54.96% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.76% ( 0.74) | 76.24% ( -0.75) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.59% ( -0.82) | 40.41% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -0.75) | 77.03% ( 0.75) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% ( 1.19) | 20.77% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.58% ( 1.84) | 53.42% ( -1.84) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.71% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.36% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
> League Two Full Table |