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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle

Shade (80')
Wakeling (17'), Austin (58'), Clayton (70'), Shade (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Guy (9'), McCalmont (56'), Moxon (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
41.94% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.87% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (0.184 0.18)51.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.158 0.16)73.53% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)24.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.31% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.278 0.28)66.49% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.93%
    Carlisle United 31.87%
    Draw 26.18%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Swindon vs Carlisle

Swindon Town
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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