Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Tyrese Shade 80'

Jack Armer 51'
Ryan Edmondson 90'+6'

Swindon Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

D
W
W
L
L
L

League Two

D
W
W
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm

Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Swindon

Goals scored

61

Top scorer

Jonny Williams

Carlisle United

All competitions

W
W
W
L
D
L

League Two

W
W
W
L
D
L

Last game

Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm

Carlisle 2 - 0 Grimsby Town

Goals scored

66

Top scorer

Kristian Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 41.94% ▼ (-0.19)

Draw 26.19% ▼ (-0.03)

Carlisle United 31.87% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score:

52.66% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.23% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 2.5 51.77% ▼ (-0.19)

Over 3.5 26.46% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 3.5 73.53% ▼ (-0.16)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 24.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 41.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 58.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 69.69% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 0.5 30.31% ▼ (-0.24)

Over 1.5 33.51% ▲ (+0.28)

Under 1.5 66.49% ▼ (-0.28)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 41.93%

Draw 26.18%

Carlisle United 31.87%

Swindon Town

1-0 @ 10.43% ▼ (-0.09)

2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.06)

3-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)

3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.02)

4-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)

4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.66%

Total : 41.93%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.45% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.06)

2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 1.09%

Total : 26.18%

Carlisle United

0-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.04)

0-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 3.17%

Total : 31.87%

Head to Head

Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Brunton Park

Kristian Dennis 45'
Owen Moxon 63'

Louis Reed 18'
Jacob Wakeling 22'
Angus MacDonald 90'+4'

Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Dynel Simeu 36'

Harry McKirdy 17'
Josh Davison 36'
Josh Davison 55'
Louie Barry 57'
Brandon Cooper 87'

Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Kaine Kesler 28'
Romoney Crichlow 30'
Louis Reed 90'+3'
Kaine Kesler 90'+7'

Joe Riley 13'
Brennan Dickenson 29'
Tristan Abrahams 43'
Magnus Norman 63'

Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Brunton Park

Aaron Hayden 62'

Rarmani Edmonds-Green 11'

Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Michael Doughty 34'
Jerry Yates 56'
Jordan Lyden 57'
Ezekiel Fryers 70'
Kaiyne Woolery 90'

Olufela Olomola 52'
Nathaniel Knight-Percival 57'
Canice Carroll 83'
Mo Sagaf 92'

Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)

Hallam Hope 13'
Gary Liddle 38'
Callum O'Hare 79'

Kyle Bennett 39'
Canice Carroll 60'
Keshi Anderson 91'

Form Data

Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Swindon

Swindon 3 - 0 Harrogate

Salford City 1 - 2 Swindon

Sutton 2 - 1 Swindon

Swindon 0 - 2 Doncaster

Newport 2 - 1 Swindon

Carlisle 2 - 0 Grimsby Town

Crawley 2 - 5 Carlisle

Carlisle 1 - 0 Colchester

Carlisle 0 - 4 Mansfield

AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Carlisle

Carlisle 0 - 1 Harrogate