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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
24.24% ( -2.02) | 27.16% ( -0.37) | 48.6% ( 2.39) |
Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.71% ( -0) | 59.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.3% ( -0) | 79.7% ( 0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( -1.82) | 40.42% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -1.69) | 77.03% ( 1.69) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( 1.16) | 24.52% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% ( 1.59) | 58.98% ( -1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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