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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Stevenage

Rochdale
2 - 0
Stevenage

Rodney (7'), Lloyd (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawStevenage
24.24% (-2.017 -2.02)27.16% (-0.369 -0.37)48.6% (2.391 2.39)
Both teams to score 44.97% (-0.664 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (-1.816 -1.82)40.42% (1.822 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-1.688 -1.69)77.03% (1.692 1.69)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (1.155 1.16)24.52% (-1.15 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02% (1.594 1.59)58.98% (-1.59 -1.59)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 24.24%
    Stevenage 48.6%
    Draw 27.16%
RochdaleDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.455 -0.46)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.389 -0.39)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.423 -0.42)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 13.93% (0.46 0.46)
0-2 @ 9.79% (0.631 0.63)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.435 0.44)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.201 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 48.6%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-2
Stevenage
Beesley (4'), Andrews (35')
Kelly (90')
List (27', 47')
Melbourne (74'), Read (89'), Cuthbert (90+4')
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Rochdale
1-5
Stevenage
Ormerod (52')
Widdowson (26')
Widdowson (56')
Wilson (46', 53'), Byrom (66'), Freeman (18', 58')
Wilson (90')
Sep 3, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
4-2
Rochdale
Beardsley (30', 45'), Reid (13')
Reid (53')
Jones (28'), Ball (71')
Jones (31')