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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
| 24.24% ( | 27.16% ( | 48.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.71% ( | 59.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.3% ( | 79.7% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( | 40.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( | 77.03% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( | 24.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( | 58.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 2-2 @ 4.02% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.6% |