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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 3
Stevenage

Al-Hamadi (39', 74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piergianni (55'), McAteer (61' og.), Norris (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
34.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)36.49%
Both teams to score 45.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)80.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26%32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 34.88%
    Stevenage 36.49%
    Draw 28.61%
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.49%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Stevenage
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2018 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Stevenage
Appiah (1'), Wordsworth (28'), Garratt (68'), Egan (78')

Ball (23')
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Dec 12, 2015 3pm
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Pett (32'), Walton (69' pen.)
Francomb (35')
Oshilaja (18'), Fuller (75')
rhs 2.0


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