League Two Gameweek 22
AFC Wimbledon
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Stevenage
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 39' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 74' goal
  • goal Carl Piergianni 55'
  • goal Kasey McAteer 61' (OG)
  • goal Luke Norris 83'

AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Gillingham 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 0 - 1 Tranmere
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 34.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 28.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Stevenage 36.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 60.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 80.62% ▲ (+0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 67.26%
Under 0.5 32.73%
Over 1.5 30.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 34.88%
Draw 28.61%
Stevenage 36.49%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 11.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.49%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
Nov 12, 2018 11.00pm
Stevenage
EFL Trophy Gameweek 7
AFC Wimbledon
Nov 6, 2018 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium (Kingston upon Thames, Surrey)
Stevenage
  • Kwesi Appiah 1' goal
  • Anthony Wordsworth 28' goal
  • Tyler Garratt 68' goal
  • Alfie Egan 78' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Ball 23'
League Two
Stevenage
Apr 30, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Michael Tonge 10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 48'
League Two
AFC Wimbledon
Dec 12, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Stevenage
  • Karleigh Osborne 14' yellowcard
  • George Francomb 43' goal
  • goal Jamille Matt 57'
  • goal Jerome Okimo 76'
League Two
Stevenage
Jan 10, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Tom Pett 32' goal
  • Simon Walton 69' goal
  • yellowcard Adedeji Oshilaja 18'
  • goal George Francomb 35'
  • yellowcard Barry Fuller 75'
League Two
AFC Wimbledon
Aug 30, 2014 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Stevenage
  • Matt Tubbs 34' goal
  • Dannie Bulman 42' yellowcard
  • Adam Barrett 68' yellowcard
  • Adebayo Azeez 97' goal
  • goal Dean Wells 42'
  • goal Cameron Lancaster 59'
  • yellowcard Tom Pett 65'
  • goal Charlie Lee 74'
  • yellowcard Simon Walton 82'

Form Data

Gillingham 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 2 Hartlepool
Northampton 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Carlisle
Leyton Orient 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Stockport
Stevenage 0 - 1 Tranmere
Stockport 2 - 0 Stevenage
Newport 2 - 2 Stevenage
Stevenage 2 - 3 Bradford
Sutton 0 - 0 Stevenage
Stoke 3 - 1 Stevenage

Build-up

Match Preview