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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Gillingham
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Ehmer (58'), Alexander (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al-Hamadi (52')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.65% (0.011000000000003 0.01)28.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)24.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.49% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)82.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)42.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)78.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 47.65%
    AFC Wimbledon 24.2%
    Draw 28.14%
GillinghamDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.2%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Tucker (74'), Lee (83')

Mebude (90+4')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Gillingham
Palmer (85')
Mebude (39'), Nightingale (73'), Palmer (87'), Assal (90+6')
Kalambayi (90+7' og.)
McKenzie (11'), Tutonda (55'), Tucker (67'), O'Keefe (90+2'), Oliver (90+7')
Tutonda (73')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Gillingham
Rudoni (90')

O'Keefe (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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